Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 8.887703e-05 0.000105 0.000121 0.000140 0.000161 0.000183 0.000208
2025-06-08 6.193526e-05 0.000083 0.000108 0.000138 0.000172 0.000211 0.000257
2025-06-15 4.821941e-05 0.000072 0.000101 0.000138 0.000182 0.000234 0.000296
2025-06-22 3.584627e-05 0.000060 0.000091 0.000132 0.000184 0.000245 0.000322
2025-06-29 2.724278e-05 0.000051 0.000083 0.000128 0.000186 0.000256 0.000346
2025-07-06 2.176046e-05 0.000045 0.000079 0.000127 0.000192 0.000272 0.000376
2025-07-13 1.759188e-05 0.000041 0.000076 0.000127 0.000198 0.000288 0.000405
2025-07-20 1.285028e-05 0.000034 0.000069 0.000122 0.000197 0.000293 0.000421
2025-07-27 9.832152e-06 0.000030 0.000064 0.000120 0.000199 0.000303 0.000443
2025-08-03 8.361588e-06 0.000028 0.000064 0.000123 0.000209 0.000323 0.000478
2025-08-10 6.567849e-06 0.000025 0.000062 0.000123 0.000214 0.000336 0.000504
2025-08-17 5.162035e-06 0.000023 0.000059 0.000123 0.000219 0.000349 0.000530
2025-08-24 3.233554e-06 0.000019 0.000055 0.000120 0.000223 0.000364 0.000564
2025-08-31 1.802599e-06 0.000016 0.000051 0.000118 0.000227 0.000381 0.000600
2025-09-07 1.013221e-06 0.000013 0.000048 0.000118 0.000235 0.000402 0.000643
2025-09-14 3.657423e-07 0.000010 0.000043 0.000113 0.000234 0.000410 0.000668
2025-09-21 9.270413e-08 0.000008 0.000038 0.000109 0.000234 0.000421 0.000696
2025-09-28 1.480963e-08 0.000006 0.000036 0.000109 0.000240 0.000438 0.000735
2025-10-05 1.000407e-10 0.000005 0.000034 0.000109 0.000247 0.000458 0.000775
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000004 0.000030 0.000104 0.000244 0.000463 0.000796
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000003 0.000028 0.000102 0.000247 0.000476 0.000828
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000002 0.000028 0.000105 0.000258 0.000502 0.000879
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000002 0.000026 0.000105 0.000264 0.000519 0.000917